Through the abolishment of the UK rebate and “the rebates on the rebate” alone
(without considering any extra payments to close the budget gap left behind by
the UK), the contributions of Germany, the Netherlands, Sweden and Austria to
the EU budget could together increase by around EUR 2 bn annually.
Germany,which currently draws the largest reduction (in absolute terms), would bear more
than half of this adjustment, seeing its contribution to the budget go up by EUR
1 bn. On the other side, for EU27 members without any rebates on the rebate,
contributions would be reduced accordingly. This redistribution would mainly go
to France, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Poland and Finland, which together could see
their payments cut by EUR 1.6 bn annually.
While the percentage share in post-
Brexit budget contributions will go up for all members, the abolishment of the
corrections and rebates will change the relative shares. For Germany its share
in national contribution would go up from currently 21% to almost 25% while for
France it would rise from 17% to 19% and for Italy from 13% to only 14%.
EU Forecast
euf:ba18h:168/nws-01